Historical forecasting

In my continuing search for a pundit glossary I ran across an interesting article on ranking Presidents in the Opinion Journal. Written just before last year’s election it found that a survey of historians equally balanced between Democrats and Republicans put George W Bush squarely in the middle of the Presidential pack. Of course, it was a little premature. There is no historical distance yet for an objective judgement.

I think Bush’s ranking will decline steadily over time. The year since the election has done nothing to enhance his prospects for a generous appraisal.

About the author