It was a seasonable 46 degrees when Claudia and I headed out to vote at 7:30 AM. I was the 24th voter at our precinct and the polling place was teeming with voters. It should be a good turn out. Frank sent me yesterday’s forecast by the Cook Report which downplayed the recent reports that the Republicans are “coming home” and tightening the race:<\/p>\n
“All Monday there was considerable talk that the national picture had
\nsuddenly changed and that there was a significant tightening in the
\nelection. This was based in part on two national polls that showed the
\ngeneric congressional ballot test having tightened to four (Pew) and six
\n(ABC\/Wash Post) points.<\/p>\nSeven national polls have been conducted since Wednesday, November 1.
\nThey give Democrats an average lead of 11.6 percentage points, larger
\nthan any party has had going into an Election Day in memory. Even if you
\nknock five points off of it, it’s 6.6 percentage points, bigger than the
\nadvantage that Republicans had going into 1994.<\/p>\nFurthermore, there is no evidence of a trend in the generic ballot test.
\nIn chronological order of interviewing (using the midpoint of field
\ndates), the margins were: 15 points (Time 11\/1-3), 6 points (ABC\/Wash
\nPost), 4 points (Pew), 7 points (Gallup), 16 points (Newsweek), 20
\npoints (CNN) and 13 points (Fox).”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n